Chicago Blackhawks Pre-Draft Lottery Novena

  
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1) Pray for a first overall slot win of the lottery and Rasmus Dahlin.

(Wiz note 1: this would force a core player sell off quicker rather than later, because Dahlin’s second deal will not be a RFA bridge but a long term big dollar one, marking the start of the “hard rebuild”).

2) Connected to the first prayer, they are now praying they find a taker on one of their top two defensemen to re-establish CAP flexibility.

3) Pray they win a top two or three pick and pray those two scoring forwards prospects already showing high pace IQ and skill are worth passing for Brady Tkachuk, who along with his representation, would have to give assurances he is by-passing anymore college.

(Wiz note 2: these top forwards, Andrei Svechnikov and Filip Zadina are clearly smart quick super-skilled and not going to need much growth in terms of offensive game and look to help the teams that draft them quickly at even strength and the power play. Let’s give taking Brady Tkachuk early a name: How about the Louis DeBrusk factor?)

4) Connected to the third prayer: If the Hawks were to select Svechnikov or Zadina in the second or third slot after a lottery win, neither is going to prove much by staying in junior, subsequently the Blackhawks are now praying they find a taker on the Anisimov, Saad, or another costly forward deal (he who shall not be named) to secure more scoring for the present with more Cap money. No matter how we all try to justify Artemi planarian’s departure, because we know there wasn’t going to be an excess nine or ten million to resign him, no one can demean the fact he is a GREAT NHL scorer we no longer have. Could a hard rebuild and purge of the established core and the cap room lure him back in free agency? I think not.

5)  If the Blackhawks do not win either of the last two lottery slots, they pray that any and all the teams above them DO win all three top slots,

And not any team under them in the pre draft rankings so the Blackhawks don’t move backward 1-4 possible slots;although hopes of Brady fade, a top ten pick this year is still an awfully good place to add a prospect.

6) Pray Montreal wins the lottery, one over all, so the Habs don’t have Brady Tkachuk in consideration at all.

Just as Montreal chose Ryan Poehling, the Hawks’ TRUE #1 target last season (which triggered the hawk trade up and Henri Jokihaju pick), the Habs will scoop Brady before the hawks choose, because as much as the Habs have need at defenseman, they also need the big forward physical presence a Tkachuk brings.

(Wiz note 3: I keep reading about how Brady is “lesser-light when it comes around to comparisons with the polished forwards ranked above him. I can’t overstate how he is a take no prisoner aggressive power player who causes problems where ever he is and plays to win. And there is plenty of upside too. I doubt he sees the minors and starts on the job apprenticing next season because there is little to prove in the college ranks, and NHL play is the only place further adjustment can take place. In my opinion, he is a terrific ingredient that he balances the undersized parts of the Hawk forward line-up.)

7) Look for the Blackhawks to be praying for one of the teams drafting one through six to in a quest for offensive generating defenseman causes a small run on defenders starting at slot # 5, thereby causing slippage of a safe forward, or a guy considered by the hawks scouting staff as perfect drop into their laps.

(Wiz note 4: Some are saying it is a strong second their after Dahlin made up FOUR players, making pick six the start of a drop off to the third tier. That is NOT how I see it, as the smaller “push” defensemen in this draft have been scouted and have seen more video scrutiny than most past year’s prospects, because NHL teams must feel certain these super-fast undersized players CAN hold up in some form in the defensive parts of the game. Their prayers might be answered if an early selecting team loves one of the many smaller dynamic skating attacking offense man. The game has changed, more that we all want to believe. The physical presence part of the defensive position has radically taken a back seat to the need for every team to have more than one skilled and quick footed defender with upside…teams maybe in fact be reaching for a few of these attacking offensemen, leaving an opportunity for quality forward prospects to fall down a few slots.)

8) Pray there are teams ahead of them with divergent scouting lists and a prospect the hawks have ranked higher slips to them at both the early and later first round pick. This draft is filled with prospects and that many scouts felt had higher upside but still hadn’t gotten the parts together to warrant mention in the very first selections, who are very good players, so the Blackhawks pray one drops to them in slots ten, nine, eight, and maybe even in that later Nashville pinch, acquired in the Hartman – Ejdsell trade.

(Wiz note 5:  What would be causing slippage and selection of defenseman over these forwards? There would be questions about their over all ability to progress to elite status players…many of these prospects are guys who will be close to guaranteed NHL roster fillers, even if there is less star quality upside. They don’t have foot speed issues or lack 200 foot commitments. This happens with regularity; ask the Kings how happy they were when the guy third on their board, Gabe Vilardi, was still there at #11 when they selected.)

9) The Blackhawks final prayer is that some Stanley Cup contender knocks off the Nashville Predators BEFORE they get to the final four, so the second 1st rounder is one in the 27 or under slots.

(6th and final Wiz note: I was of the opinion that as soon as they knew the chances of a playoff spot were close to diminished, the Hawks’ main goal was to secure replacement picks in each of the early rounds where they had traded theirs. I think the hawks were looking for a 2nd rounder and the chance of a late first rounder plus a chance to see if Victor Ejdsell could help sooner made it seem to Stan Bowman that he had no choice but to make the deal instead of giving Hartman a handsome re-up at a price he would have trouble justifying. And please, don’t tell me how slow Ejdsell is, all I see is the sweeping wrist shot usually reserved to a much smaller player that gets off really quickly.)

Now all of you, START PRAYING TOO.

Because this team is going to have to transform via some upgrade and not just rely on improvement from each and every youngster. There has to be more at the top end working if we don’t want to be praying on lottery balls a year from now.

Center Ice Forums Chicago Blackhawks Pre-Draft Lottery Novena

This topic contains 9 replies, has 7 voices, and was last updated by  Chico Maki 6 months, 2 weeks ago.

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  • #6705

    1) Pray for a first overall slot win of the lottery and Rasmus Dahlin. (Wiz note 1: this would force a core player sell off quicker rather than later,
    [To continue reading full article, click here: Chicago Blackhawks Pre-Draft Lottery Novena]

    #6706

    Riozzo
    RinkRat

    Bill – Nice article,  good thing I am not an atheist.  Lots of praying going on for a roster recovery.

    #6709

    fattybeef
    RinkRat

    They’ll have 3 years to resign Dahlin. The CBA has a 2019 option for both the NHL and the NHLPA. The deal itself expires in 2022. One, the other or both should include some kind of compliance buyout to get it inked so that could solve the money thing on its own.

    Either way go ham and win now.

    Getting one of those wingers should let them broker a deal for a top 4 defender for one of the several young and talented wingers they have already.

    #6710

    They’ll have 3 years to resign Dahlin. The CBA has a 2019 option for both the NHL and the NHLPA. The deal itself expires in 2022. One, the other or both should include some kind of compliance buyout to get it inked so that could solve the money thing on its own. Either way go ham and win now. Getting one of those wingers should let them broker a deal for a top 4 defender for one of the several young and talented wingers they have already.

    Dahlin will come in and play fro day one, and probably ask  for the the possible lock out year in a larger payout like so many of vets are doing for that second year. What they Darlin will never be an issue

    Yeah, it is really touchy when you start talking about drafting Russian prospects who haven’t already made the North America or isn’t a very good English speaker; it plays in their favor to stay in Russia, get better and then at an older age, when the Rookie Cap no longer applies make the jump with a fatter contract plus incentives.

    #6711

    It is not as if I don’t feel there is a lot t0 like with the youth they have brought in and started playing. This let’s them see what they have to do to be effective, and you cannot start judge high water until three – five seasons in. My gripe is not with the newbies, but the Pittsburgh past successes are tied to exemplery play by the high end talent, the newbie talent and the middle talent. That is quite a lot of jelling and growing as linemates and in learning new roles. Pittsburgh is the best example of how to return, but there were few under achievers in the past couple for them, and that is a true achievement.

    And I am not speaking from a strictly defenseman upgrade, but this team needs MORE talent to emerge, be added to excel.

    Dahlin would instantly solve the problem of backline upgrade even as an on the job trainee.

    It negates having to find a free agent and maybe opens a trade up that helps in an need area, a consistent scorer.

    This idea that the Hawks are gonna open the check book and sign JvR or traded for some prominent forward is simply not realistic until the core gets reshuffled or a couple high to moderate contracts are launched instead of thinking Toews is going the jets, Kane to Buffalo, Keith to Vancouver and Seabrook to the Toronto.

    #6712

    fattybeef
    RinkRat

    It is not as if I don’t feel there is a lot t0 like with the youth they have brought in and started playing. This let’s them see what they have to do to be effective, and you cannot start judge high water until three – five seasons in. My gripe is not with the newbies, but the Pittsburgh past successes are tied to exemplery play by the high end talent, the newbie talent and the middle talent. That is quite a lot of jelling and growing as linemates and in learning new roles. Pittsburgh is the best example of how to return, but there were few under achievers in the past couple for them, and that is a true achievement.
    And I am not speaking from a strictly defenseman upgrade, but this team needs MORE talent to emerge, be added to excel.
    Dahlin would instantly solve the problem of backline upgrade even as an on the job trainee.
    It negates having to find a free agent and maybe opens a trade up that helps in an need area, a consistent scorer.
    This idea that the Hawks are gonna open the check book and sign JvR or traded for some prominent forward is simply not realistic until the core gets reshuffled or a couple high to moderate contracts are launched instead of thinking Toews is going the jets, Kane to Buffalo, Keith to Vancouver and Seabrook to the Toronto.

    I think like the Penguins, they need one more stud player to put them over the top like Kessel has done.

    They have 11-12 million this summer if the players vote for the higher increase, +17 if they lose the Hossa money and only 4 or 5 roster spots to fill. One less if they win the lottery. Plus AA and Saad should be movable if they want or need to do that too.

    Something major should absolutely happen this year outside of the top 10 pick IMO.

    #6723

    Breadbag
    RinkRat

    That was a pretty good wrist-shot from Ejdsell in 3OT last night.

    #6724

    Nice piece, Wiz!

    #6730

    35Tony0
    RinkRat

    GREAT read!

    #6745

    Chico Maki
    RinkRat

    Nice write up Wiz….

    Now that we know the Hawks will be drafting 8th, in your opinion, is there an impact player at 8 that can come in an play right away?   Personally, I’d like to see Walstrom fall to 8, but, I dunno if that’s likely to happen.

    Is Bouchard likely?  He looks like a Seabrook type but maybe more offense(?)  Hughes scares me.  Hawks have too many small Dmen.

    I’ve read where there’s a significant drop off in talent after the first 5 or 6 or so “sure things”.   Or, do you envision Stan attempting to trade up?  And, who of the “core” would need to go for that to happen?

     

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