Blackhawks still hold outside chance at first overall pick in the 2020 NHL Draft

  

The NHL held their first draft lottery for this year’s amateur entry draft, Friday night, and the drama did not disappoint. When the dust settled, the Blackhawks were left with a fighting chance to win the first overall pick in the yet to be determined NHL Entry Draft, along with 15 other teams.

You read that right, the Blackhawks could still potentially have a shot at drafting the consensus first overall player in the draft pool, Alexis Lafrenière.

There is a caveat to Chicago’s chances, though. They would first need to lose to the Edmonton Oilers in the NHL’s Return to Play plan. They would then need to win a second NHL Draft Lottery, at an undetermined date, that includes the eight losing teams in the play-in round. This means that they would have a 12.5% chance of getting the first overall pick. If the NHL cannot resume and finish their Return to Play plan, teams 17 thru 24 in final points percentage will have a 12.5% chance at getting the top pick.

As far as Friday’s results go, it probably wasn’t the outcome that the NHL had hoped for. The Detroit Red Wings held the top position with an 18.5% chance of winning the lottery but, instead, fell behind the Los Angeles Kings, Ottawa Senators (pick acquired from the San Jose Sharks) and the yet to be determined play-in team. The Kings were the second biggest winner of the night, moving up two spots from number four. Ottawa came into the lottery with the second and third highest spots but slid back to third and fifth. Not quite a banner day for the NHL’s most deserving teams.

The results just further question whether the Blackhawks are better off losing in the play-in round or beating the Edmonton Oilers and qualifying for the final 16-team playoff. On one hand, they could get a reprieve from another awful season (that they in no way deserve), but they would miss a chance at a future dynamic player that could team with last year’s third overall pick, Kirby Dach, and usher in the next generation of Blackhawks top tier players. There is no question that they lack difference making young forwards in their system. As with any player drafted, there is no guarantee that Alexis Lafrenière will be an NHL star but according to draft experts, he is the top talent in the entire draft class.

Dach and Lafrenière could speed up the rebuild and potentially wind up being the next Kane and Toews with players like Alex DeBrincat, Dylan Strome, and Calder Trophy candidate Dominik Kubalik looking like they could be solid secondary scoring options at forward. Evan Barratt, Phillip Kurashev, Michal Teply, MacKenzie Entwistle, and Brandon Hagel have outside chances to contribute at the NHL level in the coming seasons, also.

The defensive pipeline is splitting at the seams with players like Adam Boqvist, Nicolas Beaudin, and Ian Mitchell close to competing for NHL jobs and players like Alec Regula, Stanislav Demin, and Alex Vlasic as potential candidates down the road. Dennis Gilbert and Lucas Carlsson have shown some potential in limited NHL time, but it’s yet to be determined if they fit in Chicago’s long term plans.

The biggest hole in the organization is in goal and will need to be addressed soon, also. Outside of Collin Delia, the Blackhawks have no goalies that have any NHL experience whatsoever and recently let former 2018 6th round pick Alexis Gravel become a free agent. It is expected that they will extend Corey Crawford when the season finally concludes but, at 35 years of age, he cannot be part of their long term solution so some decisions will need to be made by General Manager Stan Bowman.

Center Ice Forums Blackhawks still hold outside chance at first overall pick in the 2020 NHL Draft

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  • #17294
    Jeff Osborn
    Keymaster

    The NHL held their first draft lottery for this year’s amateur entry draft, Friday night, and the drama did not disappoint. When the dust settled, the
    [To continue reading full article, click here: Blackhawks still hold outside chance at first overall pick in the 2020 NHL Draft]

    @PuckinHostile on Twitter

    #17296
    Mister Ricochet
    Participant

    Nice rundown, Jeff.  Allowing myself even a second to insert Alexis Lafrenière into the lineup puts the Hawks back in the cup conversation for the next decade.  And the way some rookies are producing in the NHL these days the remaining productive years left for Kane, Toews and Keith might be used for a couple legitimate playoff runs.

    But realistically I’m looking at the #10 pick. If the Cossack goalie and Sanderson go in the top 10 a pretty good, maybe difference making, forward will fall to them.  Maybe a Perfetti or Raymond falls  like Zegras fell to ANA last yr?

    Either way a great day. Hawks with a chance at the #1 and Detroilet fell as far as they could to #4. Not sure what makes me happier………….

    #17298
    Under Qs moustache
    Participant

    With a top ten pick at risk, the Hawks can surely set back the rebuild by winning the best of five first round. It may seem unsportsmanlike to suggest this, but big picture it makes no sense to walk away from a high pick to put a few television dollars in the Wirtze’s pocket. By losing, the house cleaning that needs to continue, probably will. High draft pick-new management, win-win.

    Toews and Kane probably were not hurt by being forced to mend for a few months, and may be better in the last two years of their deals as a result. Ditto for Keith, and possibly Seabs can return in a limited role, where he has some value.

    New coaches and GM’s will bring out a fresh look at this group, and hopefully we’ll see a power play develop(the talent is there), and the stupid drop back pass on the PP will be cast aside, for something less predictable.

    Bowman should have been fired after the Panarin trade, which never would have happened, if the people in charge would have noticed Hossa’s role in Saad’s development and play. He AND Toews were the reason the “man child” had the room and opportunities. As a HOF first year eligible player, Hossa’s contributions were beyond the score sheet, Saad as well as Toews, should be mailing him a check every month. Hossa was the guy that got those two, the big contracts that either have yet to earn in his absence.

    There is too much talent on the board at ten to pick a goalie. Those high picks that either take years to develop, or never work out can set a franchise back 5 years, as will winning this meaningless first round playoff scrimmage. This team as comprised is nowhere close to the SC winning teams of 10,13 and 15. You have to be drinking the “One Goal” kool-aid pretty heavy to think they are. So now what is the point of giving up more than can be gained? Let the real teams fight it out for this Cup and do what is necessary to rebuild on the fly, while Toews and Kane still have it. A solid draft and maybe a trade or two can do alot to move a team back into the playoff picture. What’s the plan Stan?

    #17300
    Jeff Osborn
    Keymaster

    I agree with both of you.  It’s nice to have some more pragmatic minds that read our site.

    If they don’t look big picture, they will just be mediocre for the next 5 years.  Build a strong forward core, figure out how to draft and develop a useful goaltender.  Teams that get lucky in the draft and can carry cost-controlled players into their mid 20s are the ones that are most successful, not teams that drag a bunch of inflated contracts that are far more expensive than their return.  Toews, Kane, Keith, Seabrook, and even Hossa to a degree were probably all paid less than they were worth on the open market during the cup runs.  The problem is that McD and Bowman  then over-corrected and overpaid them (except Keith/Hossa) for their past service.

    It’s a cold idea, but if you pay for past production, you will only get burned.  There are other ways to reward players for their service to an organization.

    @PuckinHostile on Twitter

    #17304
    Mister Ricochet
    Participant

    Hell, even before a shot at the #1 I was all in for the Oilers in the play in.  Now I might even buy an Oilers hat to watch the series, if it’s even played.

    We all know how rare it is to get the #1, or even top 5, but remember if the Hawks do beat the Oil they have a chance of falling from the 9th or 10th pick all the way to the 17th!!   Even in the deepest of drafts the fall off from 9-10 to 17 is huge……… A win vs the Oilers, and I fully expect the Hawks to play 110%, has a chance to put the organIzation back a good bit.

    As mentioned I’m looking more at the 9th or 10th pick than the 1st.  Decent chance that a Perfetti or maybe even a Raymond or Holtz falls to #9 or #10.  Doubtful they are a Kane but decent chance they are legit top 6 players, maybe 1st liners.

    That said I’m scared to death to draft the Cossack goalie and scared to death not to.  When guys I trust say the best goalie prospect since Price I take notice.  I’m paralyzed……….. Hawks need forwards but a Price on a top 10 team means they have a good chance to run the table.

    If they somehow fell to 13-17 I wonder if they’d have the balls to pull the trigger. Doubt it as the way the organIzation is structured now they are averse to using resources on the position.  But you never know.

    Whoever is reading the kid Jack Quinn has really caught my eye. He understands the most important thing about goal scoring. He gets the shot off before the goalie sets his feet and when he doesn’t have the goalie off balance he changes the angle and or uses a Dman as a screen. The kid also has that feel of finding open ice to receive a pass and get the shot off.  He’s really good at reading plays, high IQ, and gets sprung for breakaways.  Add an elite release/shot that’s accurate with some decent dangles and I’m really intrigued.  I see his feet as being just fine  Simply said the kid has every tool in the box to score goals, every tool.  ……. Also notice where most of his goals are scored.  Mostly from 10-15 ft in, high danger areas where he slithers around to get shots off.

    Take a pick of his clips:  https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=jack+quinn+hockey

     

    #17305
    Mister Ricochet
    Participant

    I like these clips of Quinn

    #17306
    Jeff Osborn
    Keymaster

    Great stuff, Rico!  I’m reading!!

    @PuckinHostile on Twitter

    #17307
    Jeff Osborn
    Keymaster

    That said I’m scared to death to draft the Cossack goalie and scared to death not to. When guys I trust say the best goalie prospect since Price I take notice. I’m paralyzed……….. Hawks need forwards but a Price on a top 10 team means they have a good chance to run the table.

     

    Me too man.  I just want something special to look forward to, not just same ol safe garbage.  Safe got them where they are.  I still say last summer’s moves were shrewd.  The team was just THAT bad in the first place.  They need to find a goalie to take over for Crawford and maybe team up with Delia for the future.  They also need young top end forwards.  At least they have ONE of those.  They have no legit goalies to rely on after Delia’s 18 total NHL games.

    @PuckinHostile on Twitter

    #17315
    Mister Ricochet
    Participant

    That said I’m scared to death to draft the Cossack goalie and scared to death not to. When guys I trust say the best goalie prospect since Price I take notice. I’m paralyzed……….. Hawks need forwards but a Price on a top 10 team means they have a good chance to run the table.

    Me too man. I just want something special to look forward to, not just same ol safe garbage. Safe got them where they are. I still say last summer’s moves were shrewd. The team was just THAT bad in the first place. They need to find a goalie to take over for Crawford and maybe team up with Delia for the future. They also need young top end forwards. At least they have ONE of those. They have no legit goalies to rely on after Delia’s 18 total NHL games.

    As far as Askarov my guess is if they do take a chance on him they are gonna have to fall in the draft and a couple guys they liked are gone at that slot, but that’s not an isolated opinion……….. And do I want whoever is running the draft to be the people to decide on Askarov, or any YOUNG goalie?  To this minute I’m horrified they spent a 3rd on Peeters in 2016. Believe me when I tell you I saw him live a couple times and on HTV plenty the kid could not skate!!  Go behind the net to play the puck and fall down can’t skate.

    Who is responsible for that?   A  THIRD rd pick!   Then Gravel.  Kid showed some promise and they simply don’t sign him.  ……… Yes they unearthed Raanta and Darling too but those are older players. Much different animal to evaluate/project a 17-18 yr old goalie than an older one.

    Which makes me even more paralyzed concerning the Russian as a Hawk.  I’m a big Spencer Knight guy and with Bob signed for 25 yrs at big money that FLA  will not be able to get out of, and Tallon as GM, I always look at that angle.

    But yes, they need to address the position for sure. Crow was excellent last yr but is still concussion prone and will be 36 in December.

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